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ODDS TO WIN THE AFC, NFC and SB LII


mjp28

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1964 season 

Eastern Conference
Team W L T PCT PF PA
Cleveland Browns 10 3 1 .769 415 293
St. Louis Cardinals 9 3 2 .750 357 331
Philadelphia Eagles 6 8 0 .429 312 313
Washington Redskins 6 8 0 .429 307 305
Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1 .385 250 289
Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 0 .357 253 315
New York Giants 2 10 2 .167 241 399
Western Conference
Team W L T PCT PF PA
Baltimore Colts 12 2 0 .857 428 225
Green Bay Packers 8 5 1 .615 342 245
Minnesota Vikings 8 5 1 .615 355 296
Detroit Lions 7 5 2 .583 280 260
Los Angeles Rams 5 7 2 .417 283 339
Chicago Bears 5 9 0 .357 260 379
San Francisco 49ers 4 10 0 .286 236 330

Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

Seven teams wouldn't even make up 2/3 of either the AFC or NFC, it's grueling now compared to then to win the championship. 

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23 hours ago, mjp28 said:

THE MONDAY UPDATE from vegasinsider.com 

NFL Future Odds

 
ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 SUPER BOWL LII (2/4/18)
Team Odds
New England Patriots 7/4
Minnesota Vikings 7/2
Pittsburgh Steelers 11/2
New Orleans Saints 6/1
Atlanta Falcons 15/2
Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 16/1
Tennessee Titans 40/1
 
ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
Team Odds
New England Patriots 4/7
Pittsburgh Steelers 9/4
Jacksonville Jaguars 8/1
Tennessee Titans 25/1
 
ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
Team Odds
Minnesota Vikings 7/5
New Orleans Saints 11/4
Atlanta Falcons 15/4
Philadelphia Eagles 5/1
 

 

The AFC looks like it's between our favorites the Belichick Bombers and the steelrz......but look out for the Jags.

The NFC looks a bit more up in the air. NE vs MIN Super Bowl LII?

 

 

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13 hours ago, mjp28 said:

1964 season 

Eastern Conference
Team W L T PCT PF PA
Cleveland Browns 10 3 1 .769 415 293
St. Louis Cardinals 9 3 2 .750 357 331
Philadelphia Eagles 6 8 0 .429 312 313
Washington Redskins 6 8 0 .429 307 305
Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1 .385 250 289
Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 0 .357 253 315
New York Giants 2 10 2 .167 241 399
Western Conference
Team W L T PCT PF PA
Baltimore Colts 12 2 0 .857 428 225
Green Bay Packers 8 5 1 .615 342 245
Minnesota Vikings 8 5 1 .615 355 296
Detroit Lions 7 5 2 .583 280 260
Los Angeles Rams 5 7 2 .417 283 339
Chicago Bears 5 9 0 .357 260 379
San Francisco 49ers 4 10 0 .286 236 330

Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

Uh....fuyuck NO.  ONLY the TOP ONE made the postseason...see below.

Seven teams wouldn't even make up 2/3 of either the AFC or NFC, it's grueling now compared to then to win the championship. 

For a team than to have had the same chance as now, they would have had to have had 6 teams make the playoffs. 

You are also forgetting the AFL.    There were 14 teams in the NFL....and 8 more in the AFL...a total of 22 teams, and only 4 made the playoffs

EastBuffalo Bills*1220.85740024215811.3-1.49.94.65.3Boston Patriots1031.769365297684.9-0.64.32.61.7New York Jets581.385278315-37-2.60.3-2.3-3.61.3Houston Oilers4100.286310355-45-3.20.4-2.8-0.8-2.0WestSan Diego Chargers*851.615341300412.9-0.42.60.91.7Kansas City Chiefs770.500366306604.3-0.53.82.81.0Oakland Raiders572.417303350-47-3.40.4-2.9-1.4-1.6Denver Broncos2111.154240438-198-14.11.8-12.4-5.1-7.3

So that brings it up to 18% of teams who make the playoffs, compared to 37.5 today. If you don't get in, you cannont win. 

To illustrate it more dramatically.....IF the rules about making the playoffs were the same as they were in those days NONE of the following teams would have ever won the Super Bowl....

1980 Raiders

1997 Broncos

2000 Ravens

2005 Steelers

2007 Giants

2010 Packers

If you don't get in...you can't win...and these teams would have NEVER made the playoffs....and would never had a chance to win the title.

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You're reinforcing what I said 6 of 51 Super bowls were won by wild card teams out of 32 teams not 14 , much harder to even make it to the final two now.

Maybe we should set up a poll on this one and let everyone vote? Eh? ;)

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6 minutes ago, mjp28 said:

You're reinforcing what I said 6 of 51 Super bowls were won by wild card teams out of 32 teams not 14 , much harder to even make it to the final two now.

Maybe we should set up a poll on this one and let everyone vote? Eh? ;)

No, polls like that are for fuyucking idjits.     And, again...you are ignoring your own question, which is:    Is it harder to win a championship now than then.   Which question has to take into account the path that one must run to win that title.    That path is now MUCH wider...and much easier to get on....even if it takes longer to negotiate that path.

Like the lottery...you can't win if you don't buy a ticket.  A lot more teams are now allowed to buy tickets.

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Quote

 

Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

Uh....fuyuck NO.  ONLY the TOP ONE made the postseason...see below.

Yes only the TOP ONE makes it in either 7 or 16......which is harder 7 or 16?

Geeezzz Gip you talk like a lawyer or judge.

(I've known quite a few, my brother and cousin were both baliffs while going to law school,  my one brother's godfather was a judge, my neighbor in my last house was a judge, one brother did political signs for about 20 years many judges were clients, one guy and later his son who lived across the street were/are judges......and the real test I used to golf with lawyers, some were sitting judges, one cheated like hekl, but he was a relative :lol: )

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Just now, mjp28 said:

 

 

Uh....fuyuck NO.  ONLY the TOP ONE made the postseason...see below.

Yes only the TOP ONE makes it in either 7 or 16......which is harder 7 or 16?

1 out of 7 is a LOT harder than 6 out of 16....

Geeezzz Gip you talk like a lawyer or judge.

By which you mean I talk sense and not nonsense, yes.

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13 minutes ago, The Gipper said:

Uh....fuyuck NO.  ONLY the TOP ONE made the postseason...see below.

Yes only the TOP ONE makes it in either 7 or 16......which is harder 7 or 16?

1 out of 7 is a LOT harder than 6 out of 16....

Geeezzz Gip you talk like a lawyer or judge.

By which you mean I talk sense and not nonsense, yes.

NO, it's 1/7 or 1/16 each year, the 6 were wild cards over the WC era! (Oh and the of the 6 playoff teams only 1 still makes it in)

........oh and I still like you.

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10 minutes ago, mjp28 said:

NO, it's 1/7 or 1/16 each year, the 6 were wild cards over the WC era! (Oh and the of the 6 playoff teams only 1 still makes it in)

........oh and I still like you.

But....again....it is an easier path to get there.   If you are a WC...you have a chance to win the SB......6 have done it since 1980.    And 5 have done it the last 20 years.   That is 1/4th of all winners.      If you don't get in you chances of NOT winning the SB are exactly 100%.

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Just now, The Gipper said:

But....again....it is an easier path to get there.   If you are a WC...you have a chance to win the SB......6 have done it since 1980.    And 5 have done it the last 20 years.   That is 1/4th of all winners.      If you don't get in you chances of NOT winning the SB are exactly 100%.

Easier path through a series of physically draining games and after a 16 game season not 12 or 14 to end up with two teams?  I don't think so.

Motion to adjourn! 

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Oh FYI for what it's worth, I remember when this game was played for pride AND supplimental cash for the players......and after the Super Bowl. Now it's like does anybody have a helmet and want to play?

01/28 3:00 PM
497 AFC
498 NFC
 
 
 
 
51½u-10
PK -10
 
51½u-10
-2½ -10
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TV: ESPN, DTV: 206
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1 minute ago, The Gipper said:

Not adjourn, dismiss.  Your case is dismissed.

Oh. 

What is MOTION TO ADJOURN?

the term that is given to the proposal to end a meeting or a session of court.

Do you drive your wife nuts too? :lol:

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3 minutes ago, mjp28 said:

Oh. 

What is MOTION TO ADJOURN?

the term that is given to the proposal to end a meeting or a session of court.

Do you drive your wife nuts too? :lol:

I know what a motion to adjourn is....and what a dismissal is.  Adjournment means a temporary recess.  Dismissal means your position is denied...and will not be reconsidered or brought back up.  

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NFL SPREAD
freeodds_hdr_vegas1_nfl.gif
01/13 4:35 PM
301 Atlanta
302 Philadelphia
 
-3 -05
44u-15
 
-3 -10
41u-10
 
-3 EV
41u-10
 
-3 EV
41½u-10
 
-3 EV
41½u-10
 
-3 EV
41u-10
 
-2½ -20
41u-10
 
-3 EV
41½u-10
 
-3 -05
41u-12
Picks
PHI-QB-Carson Wentz-OUT | TV: NBC
01/13 8:15 PM
303 Tennessee
304 New England
 
47u-10
-13½ -20
 
47u-10
-13½ -10
 
47u-10
-13½ -10
 
47½u-10
-13 -10
 
47u-10
-13½ -10
 
47½u-10
-13½ -10
 
47½u-10
-13½ -10
 
47u-10
-13½ -10
 
47u-10
-13½ -05
Picks
TV: CBS
01/14 1:05 PM
305 Jacksonville
306 Pittsburgh
 
40½u-10
-7½ -05
 
41u-10
-7½ -10
 
41u-10
-7½ EV
 
41u-10
-7½ -05
 
41u-10
-7½ -10
 
41u-10
-7½ -10
 
40½u-10
-7 -20
 
40½u-10
-7½ EV
 
41u-10
-7½ +10
Picks
PIT-WR-Antonio Brown-Probable | TV: CBS
01/14 4:40 PM
307 New Orleans
308 Minnesota
 
45u-10
-3½ -05
 
45½u-10
-4 -10
 
45½u-10
-4 -10
 
45½u-10
-4 -20
 
45u-10
-4 -10
 
45u-10
-4 -10
 
45u-10
-4 -10
 
45½u-10
-4½ -10
 
45½o-11
-4 -10
Picks
MIN-RB-Dalvin Cook-OUT | TV: FOX
01/28 3:00 PM
497 AFC
498 NFC
 
 
 
 
51½u-10
PK -10
 
51½u-10
-2½ -10
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TV: ESPN, DTV: 206
 
Updated: Wed, Jan 10 11:50 AM EDT
NOTES:
  • Open Line: Consists of the first betting line received from one of our Las Vegas or Online sportsbooks.
  • VI Consensus: Consists of the current betting line which occurs most frequently among our list of Las Vegas and Online sportsbooks.
  • All Game Times are Eastern Standard Time.
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On 1/6/2018 at 1:32 PM, dawg2fan said:

My wife's family would argue that any Championship before the SuperBowl era does not count.  So, everything the Browns won before that era does not count, regardless of how much I try to argue.  So to put it mildy, they even have me believing that our wins don't count.  It's sick, but that's the way it is.

That's stupid. If they don't count the Steelers titles in the 70s don't count either on account of how fully 1/8 of the league was not in existence at that time 

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1 hour ago, The Cysko Kid said:

That's stupid. If they don't count the Steelers titles in the 70s don't count either on account of how fully 1/8 of the league was not in existence at that time 

No need to be concerned about what stupid Steeler fan thinks....they ALL count.   Yes, while they all count.....I say this over and  over again:   the only ones that matter are the last one and the next one.   Every other one is just part of history. 

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Updated odds from vegasinsider.com......

ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 SUPER BOWL LII (2/4/18)
Team Odds
New England Patriots 7/4
Minnesota Vikings 7/2
Pittsburgh Steelers 11/2
New Orleans Saints 6/1
Atlanta Falcons 15/2
Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 16/1
Tennessee Titans 40/1
 
ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
Team Odds
New England Patriots 4/7
Pittsburgh Steelers 9/4
Jacksonville Jaguars 8/1
Tennessee Titans 25/1
 
ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
Team Odds
Minnesota Vikings 27/20
New Orleans Saints 11/4
Atlanta Falcons 15/4
Philadelphia Eagles 4/1
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1 hour ago, The Gipper said:

After last night the Pats do seem a prohibitive favorite. 

I mean, could Brady be the GOAT?   Even over Jim Brown and Jerry Rice?

Wow those are seriously big words......but might be TRUE! 

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Just now, The Gipper said:

Steelers chance of winning the Super Bowl if you CK zero. Die motherShmucker's

Now if NO can knock off MIN? That will shaKe things up. And JAX at NE, what will that spread be? I'm guessing NE -8.

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18 hours ago, mjp28 said:

Now if NO can knock off MIN? That will shaKe things up. And JAX at NE, what will that spread be? I'm guessing NE -8.

I think I would prefer to see Minnesota win. They have never won a championship and New Orleans at least had one six or eight years ago I think.

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1 hour ago, The Gipper said:

I think I would prefer to see Minnesota win. They have never won a championship and New Orleans at least had one six or eight years agoI think I would prefer to see Minnesota win. They have never won a championship and New Orleans at least had one six or eight years ago

Well I picked MIN -4 FWIW, 17-0 late 2nd looking pretty good, shutting down Drew Brees.

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3 minutes ago, mjp28 said:

Well I picked MIN -4 FWIW, 17-0 late 2nd looking pretty good, shutting down Drew Brees.

Just 1 stat: they never received more than 19 points at home this year. Man, it is looking ugly for the Saints! What a great team Minnesota is. Everyone has contributed so far.

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1 hour ago, mjp28 said:

Now if NO can knock off MIN? That will shaKe things up. And JAX at NE, what will that spread be? I'm guessing NE -8.

Some real early numbers:

AFC Championship Game

Sunday, Jan. 21  3:05 p.m.

PATRIOTS -9.5 Jaguars

Odds to win AFC Championship

Patriots 2/1   Jaguars 10/1......whoa not even close!

NFC Championship Game

Sunday, Jan. 21  6:40 p.m.

Vikings -3  EAGLES or Saints -2.5 EAGLES

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2 hours ago, mjp28 said:

Well I picked MIN -4 FWIW, 17-0 late 2nd looking pretty good, shutting down Drew Brees.

NO SAINTS 24 MIN VIKINGS 23 Final........oooops last play MIN 29 NO 24 :o:o

Geeezzzus H Christmas, nevermind. (saved my perfect 4-0 weekend)

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9 minutes ago, mjp28 said:

NO SAINTS 24 MIN VIKINGS 23 Final........oooops last play MIN 29 NO 24 :o:o

Geeezzzus H Christmas, nevermind. (saved my perfect 4-0 weekend)

What the hell was that. Last play was unbelievable!! Saints #43 will remember it his entire life.

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Is Dwayne Rudd the only player ever penalized for taking off a helmet? Saw at least 2 Vikings do it on that last play.

Wow 43. Hope his team mates don't destroy him.

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