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The Gipper

Hold Up On That Super Bowl Ring For Colt

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OK, so now Phil AND Colt have gone to the 49ers. But let's just hold up on giving them a ring. History shows that it is highly improbable that they will get one. Here is the fate of all Super Bowl losing teams going back to the 1970 merger. Listed first is the year, then the team that lost the SB, then their fate the following year:

 

1970 Cowboys WON the Super Bowl

1971 Dolphins WON the Super Bowl

1972 Redskins Lost in division round

1973 Vikings Lost the Super Bowl

1974 Vikings Lost in Division round

1975 Cowboys Lost in Division round

1976 Vikings Lost NFC title game

1977 Broncos Lost in Division round

1978 Cowboys Lost in Division round

1979 Rams Lost Wildcard round

1980 Eagles Lost Wildcard round

1981 Bengals Lost Wildcard round

1982 Dolphins Lost Division round

1983 Redskins Lost Division round

1984 Dolphins Lost AFC title game

1985 Pats Lost Division round

1986 Broncos Lost Super Bowl

1987 Broncos 8-8 no playoffs * first SB loser to fail to make playoffs

1988 Bengals 8-8 no playoffs

1989 Broncos 5-11 no playoffs

1990 Bills Lost Super Bowl

1991 Bills Lost Super Bowl

1992 Bills Lost Super Bowl

1993 Bills 7-9 no playoffs

1994 Chargers Lost Wildcard round

1995 Steeler Lost Division round

1996 Pats Lost Division round

1997 Packers Lost Wildcard

1998 Falcons 5-11 no playoffs

1999 Titans Lost Division round

2000 Giants 7-9 no playoffs

2001 Rams 7-9 no playoffs

2002 Raiders 4-12 no playoffs

2003 Panthers 7-9 no playoffs

2004 Eagles 6-10 no playoffs

2005 Seahawks Lost Division round

2006 Bears 7-9 no playoffs

2007 Pats 11-5 but no playoffs

2008 Cardinals Lost Division round

2009 Colts Lost Wildcard

2010 Steelers Lost Wildcard

2011 Patriots Lost AFC Title game

2012 49ers ??????

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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.

 

Current Vegas odds are 7-1 of Niners winning Super Bowl. Definite value in placing a proposition bet in Vegas against the Niners

 

but you would have to put up $1000 or so dollars just to win $100. js

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If you notice, the last Super Bowl loser to go on to win a Super Bowl at any later point in time is the 2000 Giants. But they waited 7 years to do that, and it was with a complete new team. New coach, new QB, probably new everything. If there were more than 1 or 2 players from that 2000 SB loser that was still on the Giants in 2007 I would be surprised. The only guys I can think of are Michael Strahan and Amani Toomer.

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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.

 

Actually slightly less than that. Of 47 Super Bowl losers, only 2, or 4.25% went on to win the Super Bowl the following year after losing it.

 

Edit: let me correct that. That 47 includes the 49ers whose fate is not known yet. It is 2 of 46 who went on to win the following year, or 4.34%

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If you notice, the last Super Bowl loser to go on to win a Super Bowl at any later point in time is the 2000 Giants. But they waited 7 years to do that, and it was with a complete new team. New coach, new QB, probably new everything. If there were more than 1 or 2 players from that 2000 SB loser that was still on the Giants in 2007 I would be surprised. The only guys I can think of are Michael Strahan and Amani Toomer.

Let's not forget Giants benefited from the luckiest play in Super Bowl history. The famous Manning to Tyree "Helmet Catch".

 

 

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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.

 

That's not how probability works.

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That's not how probability works.

 

I don't think it is probabability, it is just history.

Despite the history, I think the 49ers could likely be the betting favorite to win next year's Super Bowl.

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Www.growingupcolt.com ???

vs. your:

 

www.growingupgay.com???

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I don't think it is probabability, it is just history.

Despite the history, I think the 49ers could likely be the betting favorite to win next year's Super Bowl.

FWIW, here's one touts opinion.

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